| 2012-9-11 23:29:48 作者：aisen翻译：HorseRider 来源：巴比特论坛 Preamble 序言 I have followed bitcoin since the very start, and I think everyone will agree bitcoin has been a fantastic experiment to date. A great technical system, a great community and great leadership have contributed to something very special. ie the de facto currency of the Internet. 很早以前我就开始跟踪比特币，经历了从一开始到现在的一切，所有人都会同意比特币是一个波澜壮阔的伟大试验。伟大的技术体系，伟大的社区，伟大的核心开发成员一起贡献了一个特别的货币体系，一个事实上的互联网货币。 Back when bitcoin was around 2 cents, I was the first person to predict that it would go parity with the dollar, and people thought that was crazy. Within a year that milestone was reached and surpassed. 当比特币还在2美分附近交易的时候，我是第一个提出比特币将达到1美元的人。当时人们都说太疯狂了。一年之后，这个里程碑达到了，被我们甩在了脑后。 Prediction 预言 So my next prediction may sound equally shocking. Bitcoin can go to over $1000. 接下来我将宣布的预测同样令人震惊。比特币的交易汇率将超过1000美元。 I know not everyone is focused on price, but I believe there is a strong reason, a metric and a strategy to achieve this 我明白不是每个人都把注意力集中在价格上，但是我认为有非常充分的理由、现实的方法和战略去实现这个目标。 Rationale 深入分析 The reason I think this is the case is one simple idea. Brand Value. 理由很简单，品牌价值 Looking at the largest brands on the net we see valuations of 50bn to 100bn USD. If you consider google, a search engine, can have a brand value of over 100 bn. Why should bitcoin the brand not aim for the same value, usefulness, mystique and mind share? 在互联网领域，最大品牌的价值达到了500亿到1000亿美元。例如搜索引擎Google，其品牌价值达到1000亿美元。为什么比特币不应该朝着同等的价值、应用普遍性、神秘性、头脑占有率迈进？ 100bn / 20m coins = would give a unit price of $5000 per bitcoin. Perhaps growing the btc brand to a google is ambitious, so I'll go for a conservative $1000 per. 1000亿美元/2000万比特币=5000美元/比特币。也许让比特币的总市值成长到google一样巨大是过于雄心勃勃了，那么1000美元的汇率是比较保守的了。 Can we make a universal currency for humanity better than a search engine? Yes we can! 我们能够为人类文明创造一个全球通用的货币吗？能，当然能！ Strategy 战略 Keep growing the brand. Above all be good bitcoin citizens and generate trust. Make bitcoin an honest currency and an exciting currency. 持续培育品牌。做一个好的比特币公民，令社区生出信任。让比特币成为一种诚实的货币，一种令人兴奋的货币。 Innovate, fascinate, grow and support the community. Market. In short, keep doing everything you're doing now. 创新、痴迷、培育和支持比特币社区和交易市场。概言之，继续做大家正在做的事情。 People will try and knock and disrupt BTC, but dont become bound to the negative energy. 会有人试图打击、毁灭比特币，但是不要受制于负能量。 Importantly, Keep growing the original bitcoin brand rather than become divided and conquered. When the time is right, more bitcoin variants will spring up, but it must be part of a big trust eco system. Bitcoin is the Galactica, other currencies can be the Colonial Fleet. 最为重要的是，要持续培育最本源的比特币品牌，不要分裂、不要屈服。当时机到来，比特币的变体也会出现，但是它应该是一个大型互信经济系统的一部分。比特币就相当于科幻连续剧《星际大争霸》，其他的变种货币则是其中的殖民舰队。 Master the regulatory hurdles that occur in individual geographical constituencies. Be understanding to century old laws, and social structure, yet show the path to modernization. Show how bitcoin can also be a force for social good. 要解决在各个选区内出现的监管阻挠。要掌握和理解传统的法律、社会结构，然后从中走出现代化的道路。要向大众证明，比特币是一种增进社会福利的力量。 Conclusion 结论 Firstly, I'd like to thank an awesome community for doing something very special. 首先，我要感谢整个社区作出了如此特别的创举。 Bitcoin has had an explosive start. I think it's in an awesome position to keep consolodating. Whether you're in it for profit or to be part of it, be a good community citizen and your own success will follow. 比特币拥有了一个爆炸性的初创期，我想这有利于我们将来的巩固期。无论你参与进来是为了获利还是决心永久成为比特币社区的一份子，都请做一个社区好公民，你的成功也会随之到来。 Bitcoin is on a trajectory to reach $1000 if we keep doing the things we do well. And more importantly, well positioned to make a more exciting, and better world! KUTGW! 如果我们能把正在做的事情做好，比特币就正在朝着1000美元的道路上稳步前进。更为重要的是，我们已经做好了充分的准备，去创造一个令人兴奋、更加美好的世界！继续努力吧！ |
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