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我是论坛新人，也是比特币初级爱好者，略懂E文，这个贴有人看到吗？难道币价真的是被操纵的？交易量真的是造假的？
http://cointelegraph.com/news/115382/bitcoin-price-analysis-wash-trading-and-rising-volume
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Wash Trading & Rising Volume
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In recent weeksthere has been noticeably more volume on two of the major bitcoin exchanges:Bitstamp & OKcoin. The two charts below show the big increase in volumewith very little price movement on both of these exchanges.
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After speakingwith self proclaimed “degenerate gambler” and one of the most respected bitcointraders of the space, BTCVIX, most of this volume appears to be wash trading.“And now we are even seeing some of this interest wane as I believe the rampingup volume washing bot activity is the Casino trying to keep the lights flashingand the sounds blasting so that we keep wanting to play the game,” according to BTCVIX. More can be found on this subject: https://www.reddit.com/r/BitcoinMarkets/comments/3lwnyn/the_state_of_trading_in_the_bitcoin_markets/
This is done tofake liquidity and volume. What happens is large orders are bought and sold ofalmost the same amount very quickly. This increases churn but affects pricevery little. Below are some charts showing what is considered to be washtrading.
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Bitcoin has beenstuck in a very tight range (under US$20) since the beginning of September.While this column has commented for months on the lack of volume on any upsidemoves and how disappointing that is, this type of volume increase can be a selffulfilling prophecy. Volume generally precedes price and while it is only onefactor, there are reasons to be bullish here.
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As the abovechart shows, the price has broke above the 50 day EMA, which could set up for amove to test big resistance in the US$255-$260 range. Not only that but the BollingerBands and the Directional Movement Index (DMI) have both tightened to levelsnot seen in quite a while. What this means is that a big volatile move shouldbe expected, and the bias is to the upside. The RSI is also positivelydiverging from price, which is bullish. The MACD just had a bullish crossoveras well. Finally On Balance Volume (OBV) is at elevated levels and while thismight be do to wash trading, it’s bullish as well.
Based on the weight of the evidence,bitcoin looks poised to experience an upside breakout. If this happens, thefirst level that needs to be broken is US$260 for a sustained rise. While thereare many key resistance levels before US$300, if price gets there and failsagain - that would be extremely bearish. | 
发表于 2017-11-24 20:52:48
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